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Monday, April 11, 2022

I'm Worried About Donbas - Early News on AMLO's Mandate

First of all, I completely wrenched my bad knee carrying a flat of cat food up the steps...so I'm pretty much down for the count for at least a few days. But this is what we'll be watching around here:

 

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Locally, the executions dropped dramatically this month - which could be explained by the special election held today. How long the Army is going to stay in the region is unknown, but they have been maintaining a very low profile.  

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UPDATE/edit: (10:27pm) I made it down the steps. This report came in after I did the blog, and apparently it was a wild weekend despite the presence of the military.  In Tijuana, nine people executed on Sunday, and five executed on Saturday...so that puts us at 48 executions this month and 466 since the beginning of the year. We'll see how it goes.

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Presently, the reports on AMLO's special election turnout caught me off guard. Originally it was thought there would be a heavy turnout. Not so,  this is a early result but what the bean counters (INE) say is that eight out of ten Mexican citizens did not vote:

 

 ~ From Zeta:

Ocho de cada 10 ciudadanos no votaron en consulta; no sera vincalante, adelanta INE 

Destacados  -   - domingo, 10 abril, 2022 8:13 PM

"Between 17 and 18.2 percent of the electoral register - around 15 and 16.8 million citizens - would have voted in the consultation to revoke the mandate this Sunday, April 10, according to the methodological estimate of the National Electoral Institute, based on its protocol of sample for this process.

Based on this calculation, at least eight out of 10 citizens decided not to vote. However, for said democratic exercise to be binding, it was necessary that 40 percent of the citizens registered in the nominal list of voters vote in the consultation, that is, 37 million 129 thousand 287 people, of the universe of 92.8 million voters. .

If this percentage is not reached, the results of the mandate revocation query will have no validity. In addition, to declare the revocation of the mandate, it is required that more than half of 40 percent of the total vote vote yes.

If the revocation of the mandate is not binding, the popular consultation will have no effect and President Andrés Manuel López Obrador will continue in office until September 2024.

Lorenzo Córdova Vianello, President Councilor of the INE, also reported that between 6.4 and 7.8 percent voted for President López Obrador's mandate to be revoked due to loss of confidence; while between 90 and 91 percent voted for the national president to continue in office. Likewise, null votes had a percentage whose lower limit is 1.6 and the upper limit is 2.1 percent.

According to data from the National Electoral Institute, 76.3 percent of compatriots abroad voted for President López Obrador to continue in office, after the mandate revocation consultation.

In contrast, there were 1,915 votes for the head of the Federal Executive Power to resign due to lack of confidence. The autonomous constitutional body also revealed that through the electronic modality, 8 thousand 287 people participated, of which 6 thousand 324 voted for the permanence of President López Obrador in office, and 48 more annulled their vote.

The INE detailed that this participation represented 46.53 percent of the 17,809 Mexicans abroad who registered to participate in the citizen exercise, which will determine whether López Obrador continues in his mandate.

Despite these data, Mario Delgado Carrillo, leader of the National Executive Committee (CEN) of Morena, affirmed that the Tabasco politician "was scratched", and then blurted out the phrase "have to learn" to his opponents, describing it as a success the exercise and highlighted that if all the voting booths had been installed, President López Obrador would have reached, according to his figures, around 45 million votes.

 

 Oh right, would have, should have, blah blah.

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So, keep an eye on Zeta for the latest, especially the next big hurdle which will be the Electricity Reform and these folks will explain everything - so you get an opportunity to compare what AMLO says and what the underlying mechanics of the situation really are. Check out the older entries too. Amazing.

 

"News From Mexico and Around the World"

Pulse News Mexico

 

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Over & Out for now.

 

 

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